Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.