Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.