Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.