Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.