Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.