Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.