Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
