Bristol Rovers have lost just once at home in the league this season, but they have drawn five times, while Charlton have also recorded five draws away from home this term. We are finding it difficult to back either side with any real confidence and have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.
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