SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
36.05% ( 0.49) | 24.55% ( -0.09) | 39.41% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 59.33% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.4% ( 0.48) | 43.6% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.01% ( 0.47) | 65.99% ( -0.47) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 0.49) | 23.84% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( 0.7) | 58.03% ( -0.7) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( 0.01) | 22.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.54% ( 0.02) | 55.46% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.41% |
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