Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.