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League One | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
NT

Bristol Rovers
2 - 0
Northampton

Hanlan (56' pen.), Baldwin (79')
Grant (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Racic (11'), Martin (35'), Watson (82'), Bolger (90+4')
Martin (60')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawNorthampton Town
34.28%26.55%39.17%
Both teams to score 52.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3%52.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.66%74.34%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8%29.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86%65.14%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68%26.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55%61.45%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 34.28%
    Northampton Town 39.16%
    Draw 26.54%
Bristol RoversDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.82%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 6.85%
1-3 @ 3.75%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.16%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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