Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.