Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
