Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.