Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
