Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.