Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.