SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
29.17% ( -0.67) | 25.84% ( 0.05) | 45% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% ( -0.5) | 51.41% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( -0.44) | 73.23% ( 0.44) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( -0.75) | 32.03% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% ( -0.86) | 68.5% ( 0.86) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( 0.08) | 22.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.51% ( 0.12) | 56.49% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.17% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.99% |
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