SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
40.83% ( 1.26) | 25.51% ( 0.11) | 33.66% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( -0.74) | 48.38% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( -0.69) | 70.52% ( 0.68) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( 0.31) | 23.49% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.47% ( 0.44) | 57.52% ( -0.45) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% ( -1.18) | 27.48% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% ( -1.55) | 62.97% ( 1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.83% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.66% |
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