Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
