SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
46.65% ( 0) | 25.44% ( -0) | 27.91% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( 0) | 50.47% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% | 72.4% ( -0) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% | 21.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.24% ( 0) | 54.75% ( -0.01) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( -0) | 32.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.98% ( -0) | 69.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.91% |
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