Bristol Rovers won both of their league meetings with Crawley last season, and we think that they have enough quality to record another victory against the Reds on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
41.31% ( -0.02)	25.25% ( 0.01)	33.45% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

-0.04)

47.27% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

-0.04)

69.5% (

0.04)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.23% (

-0.03)

22.77% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.54% (

-0.04)

56.46% (

0.04)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

-0.02)

27.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55% (

-0.02)

62.45% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 41.31%

Bristol Rovers 33.45%

Draw 25.24%

Crawley Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.31%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.45%