Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
