Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
