Rochdale
3 - 4
Oxford Utd

Done (22'), Humphrys (30'), Lund (64')
Done (6'), Rathbone (48'), Humphrys (77')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Agyei (12'), Moore (49'), Henry (62'), Shodipo (90+2')
Brannagan (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League One clash between Rochdale and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Oxford United
21.49%	23.09%	55.42%

Both teams to score 53.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75%

46.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46%

68.54%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29%

35.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52%

72.48%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.46%

16.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.7%

46.3%

Score Analysis

Rochdale 21.49%

Oxford United 55.42%

Draw 23.09%

Rochdale	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 6.08% 2-1 @ 5.64% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.49%	1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 9.56% 1-3 @ 5.91% 0-3 @ 5.74% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.66% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.37% 1-5 @ 0.96% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.21% Total : 55.42%