Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.