Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 43.68%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 27.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
