Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
