SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Blackpool |
20.27% ( 0.2) | 25.23% ( 0.08) | 54.49% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 45.62% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( -0.08) | 56.05% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( -0.07) | 77.13% ( 0.06) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.44% ( 0.17) | 42.55% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.09% ( 0.15) | 78.91% ( -0.15) |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( -0.15) | 20.58% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.89% ( -0.23) | 53.11% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Blackpool |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.06% Total : 20.27% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 13.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.94% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.48% |
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