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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
B

Northampton
0 - 1
Blackpool


Sowerby (5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Blackpool

Blackpool need to win to stay in touch with the playoffs, but they have only managed to triumph in five of their 18 away league fixtures this term, while Northampton have lost just five times at home. We are expecting a tight match on Tuesday evening and are finding it difficult to separate them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Blackpool in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBlackpool
29.74% (-0.758 -0.76) 26.13% (-0.268 -0.27) 44.13% (1.023 1.02)
Both teams to score 51.89% (0.442 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (0.748 0.75)52.32% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98% (0.641 0.64)74.02% (-0.645 -0.64)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)32.09% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (-0.181 -0.18)68.56% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.828 0.83)23.6% (-0.832 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (1.185 1.19)57.67% (-1.189 -1.19)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 29.74%
    Blackpool 44.13%
    Draw 26.12%
Northampton TownDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.74%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.16 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.096 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Northampton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Blackpool
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 0-3 Peterborough
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Blackpool
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One


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