SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 30.94% | 25.9% | 43.17% |
| Both teams to score 53.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% | 50.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% | 72.75% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% | 30.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.29% | 66.71% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% | 23.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.57% | 57.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 2% Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.94% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 7.52% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2% Total : 43.16% |
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