Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.