Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
