The two sides have enjoyed similar first halves to the League One season, and while Barnsley boast more quality, the hosts have continuously punched above their weight this term and should at least be able to take a share of the spoils on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Barnsley
37.07% ( 0.04)	26.5% ( -0.01)	36.43% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.55% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.69% (

0.04)

52.31% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26% (

0.03)

74% (

-0.03)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.68% (

0.04)

27.32% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.23% (

0.05)

62.77% (

-0.05)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3%

27.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75%

63.25%

Score Analysis

Stevenage 37.07%

Barnsley 36.43%

Draw 26.5%

Stevenage	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 37.07%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.43%