This match promises to be a tight and tense affair, with both sides desperate for the three points. Barnsley's recent form will see their confidence increase going into this match, but Stevenage's fighting spirit and away-day prowess should not be underestimated.
We predict that this will end in a draw with both sides finding the net.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.01) 
