Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.