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League One | Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
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Swindon
0 - 2
Sunderland


Donohue (16'), Smith (81'), Grounds (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wyke (37'), Maguire (57' pen.)
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Sunderland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawSunderland
31.63%28.05%40.31%
Both teams to score 46.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.03%58.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56%79.45%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82%34.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13%70.87%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36%28.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55%64.45%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 31.62%
    Sunderland 40.31%
    Draw 28.05%
Swindon TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.62%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 12.23%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 3.42%
0-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.07%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 40.31%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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