Swindon
3 - 1
Rochdale

Smith (4'), Grant (33'), Smith (41')
Jaiyesimi (46'), Pitman (90')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Keohane (90+3')
Lund (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Rochdale
58.65%	23.13%	18.22%

Both teams to score 48.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32%

50.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.41%

72.58%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.02%

16.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.91%

47.09%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.25%

41.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.78%

78.21%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 58.65%

Rochdale 18.22%

Draw 23.13%

Swindon Town	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 12.57% 2-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 5.75% 4-0 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.83% Total : 58.65%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.13%	0-1 @ 6.19% 1-2 @ 4.8% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.22%