We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Charlton Athletic
As Wigan are less effective at home and Charlton cannot find consistency away, a close-fought score draw could be on the cards when they meet on Saturday.
Such a result would suit neither side, but is the likeliest outcome given the hosts' recent inability to find the back of the net and kill off games.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
