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League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Reebok Stadium
CA

Bolton
2 - 1
Charlton

Charles (10'), Aimson (83')
Jones (33'), John (55'), Bakayoko (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aneke (76')
Washington (40'), Gilbey (42'), Pearce (53'), Dobson (67')

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Charlton Athletic

Although Charlton have enjoyed a fine run of form in recent weeks, Bolton have won six of their last eight home games in all competitions, and we think that the Trotters will utilise home advantage to edge out the Addicks on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCharlton Athletic
38.1%26.43%35.46%
Both teams to score 52.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92%52.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19%73.8%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38%26.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14%61.85%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15%63.85%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 38.1%
    Charlton Athletic 35.46%
    Draw 26.43%
Bolton WanderersDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 6.02%
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.46%

Read more!
Read more!


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