Despite their impressive attacking display against Cheltenham Town, Ainsworth will be disappointed by his side's performance at the opposite end of the pitch having failed to protect their lead. While we expect a cagey affair on Tuesday, we expect Wigan to come away with all three points, albeit by a slender margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
