Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
