Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
