Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
