Cheltenham
5 - 3
Exeter

Sercombe (7', 45+3' pen.), May (13'), Williams (77'), Boyle (90+1')
Blair (40'), May (47')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Collins (4'), Jay (56'), Law (88')
Sweeney (45+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Exeter City
42.02%	26.75%	31.24%

Both teams to score 50.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.81%

54.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.4%

75.6%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.52%

25.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.68%

60.32%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02%

31.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56%

68.44%

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 42.02%

Exeter City 31.24%

Draw 26.75%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.02%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.24%