Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
