Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 46%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
