Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
