Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.