Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
