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League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 17, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Blundell Park
BL

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Bolton

Matete (1'), Jackson Jr (86')
Khouri (34'), Clifton (59'), Matete (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miller (90+6')
Williams (6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Bolton Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawBolton Wanderers
27.14%27.48%45.37%
Both teams to score 46.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38%58.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.82%79.17%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53%37.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75%74.25%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22%25.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27%60.72%
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 27.14%
    Bolton Wanderers 45.37%
    Draw 27.47%
Grimsby TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.48%
2-1 @ 6.31%
2-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.14%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 9.66%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 13.09%
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-3 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-4 @ 1.36%
1-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 45.37%

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